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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Liverpool to Win

May 09, 2026 · Tips

Liverpool vs Manchester City is one of the Premier League's marquee fixtures. The Reds host City at Anfield, where they've dominated recent H2H meetings and maintain a formidable home record this season.

Key Stats & Form

Liverpool: 19 wins from last 25 matches (76% win rate). xG differential of +8.3 this season. Salah, Nunez, and Gakpo all in peak form. Home record: 11-2-1.

Manchester City: Recent title form cooling slightly. Defensive injuries (Dias, Akanji). xG: 12.1 per game but conceding 1.8+ per match lately. Away record: 9-3-2 but struggling vs elite opposition.

H2H (Last 6): Liverpool 3 wins, Man City 2 wins, 1 draw. Reds unbeaten in last 4 meetings.

The Pick

Liverpool Win @ 1.95 odds on 1Win. The Reds' home advantage, elite attacking form, and City's defensive vulnerabilities make this a sharp play. Liverpool's pressing will exploit City's possession-heavy build-up.

Alternative: Liverpool -0.5 AH @ 1.78 for tighter margins.

Why 1Win?

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